Wednesday, October 22, 2008

"Leaning" on Bids and Offers - How Pros Really Trade

This is one of the setups which professional day traders look for on a daily basis.

Leaning

"Leaning" is a term used by day traders. It refers to leaning on a bid or offer. In other words, if the market has been ranging between 5 and 10 and it's currently trading 9 bid / offer 10, traders who are short at 8 and 9 are leaning on the 10s. They are hoping that offer will hold. If it looks like it's going to go, they will try to buy 10s as they are leaving. Other traders are also looking to buy 10s because they know shorts are "leaning" on them. This means 10 will probably be a good spot to get the edge. However, this is also a spot where big traders make moves.

A trader might be long 8s and be the offer at 10. When it gets heavy bid at 9, he lifts his offer at 10, then turns around and bids 10 (this is called flipping) and this causes other traders to instantly buy at 11 and 12. Virtually no contracts trade at 10. In this situation, the shorts are up the creek. They were looking to risk 1 or 2 ticks and now they are forced to cover for a 4 or 5 tick loss. Other people who had no shot at 10s are going to buy 12s and 13s. This is why you must anticipate. If you think it's going to go, just buy the 10s. If you don't get them, you don't want to be buying 14s. 14 is where the guy who flipped is going to be selling. If you miss it, you miss it.

By the way, most of the time these spots are not support or resistance levels on a chart. There is no technical reason for someone to buy or sell there. You would never know traders are leaning on the price unless you know how to read the order flow. And if you don't know traders are leaning on a price, you cannot take advantage of that setup.

John Grady has been profitably trading futures and stocks for over twelve years. He has documented proof of his track record and has written "No B.S. Trading", a book which explains, in detail, how real professional day traders make their decisions. For more information on how to become your own day trading system, go to http://www.nobsdaytrading.com

A tourist bus passes a Yahoo sign in San Francisco, California October 21, 2008. (Robert Galbraith/Reuters)Reuters - Yahoo Inc posted a sharply lower quarterly profit on nearly flat sales, but its shares rose 8 percent on the Internet media company's plan to cut at least 10 percent of its work force to save costs.

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Monday, October 20, 2008

The Stock Market's Best-Kept Inside Secret - The E-Mini

I received an interesting magazine (or, maybe better described as a catalog) in the mail the other morning entitled "Home Business Connection". It was apparently sent to me because my name is on some mailing list. Beautifully designed and bearing a price tag of $5.95 per copy, I was tempted to open and read what it was all about. It is mostly full-page ads of 'home business' ideas...one after another, covering every possibility from the proverbial stuffing envelopes to much more sophisticated endeavors. Of course, each was headlined with bold declarations of being the "world's greatest home business" with promises of getting fabulously rich quick "absolutely guaranteed"! As I read through some of the ads (many were actually feature articles about certain types of home businesses), I couldn't help but compare all of them to my 'home business'.

Most were of the conventional type: find a product (usually made by someone else) then set up a way to promote, advertise and market it. Most were centered mainly on MLM or the Internet as the way to get fabulously rich. None bothered though, to explain how difficult it is to build and keep a good MLM downline, or, to get traffic to a web site. Made me wonder if those ads were directed to people who've never been 'round the block' at all, those whom it would be easy to put stars in their eyes with a little talk about making fabulous money in very short order? But, it is a good collection of home business ideas ...for anyone to peruse.

My home business is so simple I still have difficulty sometimes believing it myself. I sit down at my home computer each morning, turn on my e-mini trading charts and start watching for a good trade signal. What? You've never heard of an "E-mini"? Well, don't feel bad; I hadn't either ....until early 2002, even though I had been an active trader of stock options for over twenty years by that time. You see.... the 'e-mini' was introduced into the stock market when the Internet and personal computer were really coming into their own...back in 1997, as a trading instrument that average folks could afford to learn to trade, and take active roles in the stock market.

Most folks don't know much about trading; they think you just invest in stocks. That's all that the mutual funds and stock brokers have ever talked about (in their TV commercials and all of their advertising), but, in reality, those guys are not investors themselves...they are traders. But, they convince the rest of us that the smart thing for the public to do is turn all of our 'retirement dreams' over to them and let them manage our 'investments' for us...because they are the "professionals". Meanwhile, they are trading everyday...with their clients' money, but the account managers and the mutual fund company pockets all of the profits. Their clients (in those mutual funds) only get a mutual scr*****!

Oh, the typical mutual fund does realize [on average] about 10-15% appreciation growth of each portfolio per year, but the stock market [itself] -on its own, has historically done that, even through all of the Wars, Great Depression and even with 9-11 thrown in! Makes you wonder if brokers and mutual fund managers are, in reality, worth anything at all!

Anyway, back to the home business I found in trading E-mini's: I trade a couple of hours each morning, making 3 or 4 trades on my computer and put as my daily average goal about $500 dollars into my pocket. I never get greedy and try to stretch it....even though many days the market easily would let me. Just a nice little daily cash flow generator...that lets me grind out $500 a day, $10 grand a month and $125,000 a year. Not bad, eh? It really is that simple. The market is always there for me...every morning. I don't care whether it is going up (bullish) or down (bearish), I can make money either direction. (Something else those brokers and mutual fund managers will never tell you, or explain to you!) They'll just tell you to bring them as much money as you can and be prepared to invest with them for the long haul. 'Hold...and Hope' - that's the best the mutual fund investor has going for him or her.

If you've been thinking about or looking for a little home business idea that can generate a little extra cash flow for yourself, you'll enjoy checking out trading "E-mini's". You're invited to visit my web site where I provide 2-3 hours (a 'road map' for you) of free information on how you can get started trading e-mini's.

Don't bother to call up a mutual fund manager and ask him or her about it, though. They'll just laugh at you.

Mel Hardman
http://www.melhardman.com

Sign stands outside unsold new home in a subdivision northwest of Albuquerque, N.M., on Wednesday, Sept. 24, 2008. The Commerce Department reported Friday, Oct. 17, 2008, construction of new homes plunged by a bigger-than-expected amount in September as builders slashed production to the slowest pace since early 1991. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)AP - The nation is on track to build fewer homes this year than at any time since the end of World War II, adding to the woes of an economy that analysts said Friday has almost certainly entered a recession.

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